Pre-tourney Rankings
San Francisco
West Coast
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#137
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#145
Pace72.7#56
Improvement+6.1#11

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#64
Improvement+3.5#33

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#238
Improvement+2.6#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 164   North Dakota St. L 65-73 70%     0 - 1 -11.2 -18.1 +7.7
  Nov 12, 2011 338   Northern Arizona W 69-50 97%     1 - 1 +0.0 -10.0 +10.8
  Nov 13, 2011 198   Louisiana W 71-70 77%     2 - 1 -4.3 -2.3 -2.0
  Nov 16, 2011 263   San Jose St. W 83-81 OT 86%     3 - 1 -7.4 -1.6 -5.9
  Nov 19, 2011 223   @ Seattle W 69-63 58%     4 - 1 +6.1 -4.7 +10.6
  Nov 24, 2011 294   Dartmouth W 71-69 84%     5 - 1 -6.3 -7.4 +0.9
  Nov 25, 2011 42   Murray St. L 67-70 25%     5 - 2 +6.3 +6.4 -0.4
  Nov 26, 2011 50   New Mexico St. L 71-81 28%     5 - 3 -1.5 +2.4 -4.0
  Dec 01, 2011 95   @ Montana W 65-62 27%     6 - 3 +11.6 +6.6 +5.3
  Dec 10, 2011 271   Pacific W 79-69 87%     7 - 3 +0.3 +12.1 -10.3
  Dec 22, 2011 228   @ Holy Cross L 83-88 60%     7 - 4 -5.3 +0.5 -5.2
  Dec 29, 2011 287   @ Pepperdine L 61-77 73%     7 - 5 0 - 1 -20.0 -11.4 -8.6
  Dec 31, 2011 149   Loyola Marymount L 76-77 OT 66%     7 - 6 0 - 2 -3.1 -10.1 +7.2
  Jan 03, 2012 266   Morgan St. W 87-74 86%     8 - 6 +3.4 +8.4 -5.1
  Jan 07, 2012 45   @ BYU L 56-81 17%     8 - 7 0 - 3 -12.8 -10.3 -1.9
  Jan 09, 2012 38   @ St. Mary's L 72-87 15%     8 - 8 0 - 4 -1.5 +5.6 -7.7
  Jan 12, 2012 286   Portland W 104-70 88%     9 - 8 1 - 4 +23.3 +13.3 +6.1
  Jan 14, 2012 287   Pepperdine W 78-63 88%     10 - 8 2 - 4 +4.2 +7.3 -2.0
  Jan 19, 2012 29   @ Gonzaga L 63-74 13%     10 - 9 2 - 5 +3.5 -7.9 +12.3
  Jan 21, 2012 286   @ Portland W 72-71 73%     11 - 9 3 - 5 -2.9 -7.2 +4.2
  Jan 26, 2012 289   @ Santa Clara W 90-77 73%     12 - 9 4 - 5 +8.8 +5.9 +2.2
  Jan 28, 2012 224   San Diego W 84-70 80%     13 - 9 5 - 5 +7.3 +8.2 -0.8
  Feb 04, 2012 149   @ Loyola Marymount L 88-90 41%     13 - 10 5 - 6 +2.7 +9.5 -6.6
  Feb 09, 2012 289   Santa Clara W 85-69 89%     14 - 10 6 - 6 +5.0 +4.5 +0.9
  Feb 11, 2012 224   @ San Diego W 81-70 58%     15 - 10 7 - 6 +11.1 +1.2 +9.0
  Feb 16, 2012 45   BYU L 84-85 38%     15 - 11 7 - 7 +4.4 +6.9 -2.4
  Feb 18, 2012 29   Gonzaga W 66-65 30%     16 - 11 8 - 7 +8.7 +1.4 +7.3
  Feb 25, 2012 38   St. Mary's L 60-67 33%     16 - 12 8 - 8 -0.3 -4.9 +3.7
  Mar 01, 2012 286   Portland W 87-66 82%     17 - 12 +13.7 +5.7 +7.0
  Mar 02, 2012 149   Loyola Marymount W 67-60 54%     18 - 12 +8.3 -3.4 +11.8
  Mar 03, 2012 38   St. Mary's L 78-83 23%     18 - 13 +5.1 +14.6 -10.0
Projected Record 18.0 - 13.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%